Insider Signals in the Options Market Before Takeovers
Option volume can be an early signal for takeover events
Strategies that only take long positions in assets.
Option volume can be an early signal for takeover events
This paper shows that Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs) can help startups grow by giving them access to funding and liquidity. Projects that make good disclosures, use tokens with real utility, and get listed on exchanges are more likely to survive and hire more employees later.
Crypto returns aren’t driven by mining costs or fiat correlations. Instead, they respond to network adoption, momentum, and investor attention. This paper identifies the key factors that predict crypto returns and provides a foundation for data-driven crypto investing.
Gold’s returns are predictable using volatility and risk factors, but it doesn’t always act as a safe haven or inflation hedge. Instead, gold moves with stocks and bonds, though its actual returns can diverge in crises.
Want better bond return forecasts? This paper finds a new factor that improves risk premium estimates, making Treasury bond investing more precise.
Less than 43% of stocks beat Treasury bills, and just 4% account for all market gains. 🚀📊